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Foresight

Kodak, paardenmest en horloges

We moeten de toekomst niet voorspellen maar verkennen. De toekomst is niet te voorspellen. Er zijn talloze voorbeelden te vinden van uitspraken van mensen die geprobeerd hebben de toekomst te voorspellen en er volledig naast zaten. Wie gaat zoeken op internet naar ‘predictions gone wrong’ zal veel voorbeelden vinden. Een […]

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17 trends to inspire Dutch Government

When researching trends, it’s easy to be overwhelmed by publications. Every now and then, however, we are pleased to find a clear, well-written overview of relevant trends. The Dutch Interdepartmental trend-scan for 2025 is such an example. The first edition was published in 2011, the update in June 2013. Read more […]

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“Studying the future is similar to studying history”

Interview with Boudewijn Steur Boudewijn Steur works as strategic specialist for the Dutch Minististry of the Interior and Kingdom Relations (“BZK”). Futurista interviewed Boudewijn on his work as a strategist and his thoughts on foresight. It might be surprising to realise that while Boudewijn focuses on the future on a […]

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4 Pitfalls for Foresight Practitioners

Thinking about the future and practicing foresight is no cakewalk. This is made very clear in the book Foresight in Action. The authors have done ethnographic research on how foresight practitioners proceed in practice, with respect to the policy practice. The study took place at several Dutch ministries and planning […]

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Scanning the Dutch Horizon to 2050

Jacintha Scheerder is exploring what challenges await the Netherlands in the next four decades. She is the projectleader for the project ‘2050 Horizonscan’. The project is initiated by The Netherlands Study Centre for Technology Trends (STT). This is the second time that STT is involved in horizon scanning. In 2007, STT […]

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Scenarios as a warning: Limits to growth

Probably the most controversial and most famous scenario study published is the Limits to Growth report. It was published as a book in 1972 and presents scenarios, based on computer modelling, on the consequences of economic and population growth. The book was funded by the Volkswagen Foundation and produced by […]

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Can we measure foresight impact?

How can we meausure foresight impact? When it comes to policy-oriented foresight, like many other creative processes, proving or measuring it’s impact on policy does not come easily. Foresight professionals might recognize some of these experiences I’ve had in the past:  the impact of the foresight endeavour is limited to […]

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